RE: 30 year predictions for general collection

From: Jeff Kosokoff <colldv_at_lists.ala.org>
Date: Wed, 30 Jan 2019 14:19:20 +0000
To: "colldv_at_lists.ala.org" <colldv_at_lists.ala.org>
Colleagues,

Word of caution about the very interesting report, and the authors acknowledge the first point in their conclusion. Two of the bigger things we should keep in mind (IMO/YMMV):
1) because it is limited to libraries who were willing who also use Alma or WorldShare, there are some pretty obvious sampling errors. I would say that many of the generalizations of the report should be therefore be taken with a grain of salt.
2) e-book packages aren't broken down to the number of titles. I know that for Duke that would mean a fairly dramatic undercount for those of us who buy e-book packages. Similarly, they put title-level price limits on their analysis, which would cause an undercount in certain subjects.

Still a good and worthwhile read. Thanks to ITHAKA for their efforts.

Cheers,

Jeff


Jeff Kosokoff
Assistant University Librarian for Collection Strategy
Duke University Libraries
Duke Box 90191 | Durham, NC  27708
(919) 660-7892 | @JeffKosokoff | he,him,his

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-----Original Message-----
From: colldv-request_at_lists.ala.org <colldv-request_at_lists.ala.org> On Behalf Of Martin, Rebecca Y.
Sent: Tuesday, January 29, 2019 5:43 PM
To: colldv_at_lists.ala.org
Subject: RE: [ALCTS-colldv] 30 year predictions for general collection

Hi Michael and colleagues,

There's a new research report out today about "Library Acquisition Patterns" from Ithaka S&R that could provide some helpful data points, historical trends, etc. for your predictions: https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__doi.org_10.18665_sr.310937&d=DwIFAg&c=imBPVzF25OnBgGmVOlcsiEgHoG1i6YHLR0Sj_gZ4adc&r=NjAZOcjvY64hQgzJtQV1wws2q9x5Zl9x1kbUSuzNZfU&m=RcJnB2qsCnxSRm3gN1zKyWG2bCLuiySh8Xm4MUvfxcY&s=ebayaJzEsQNc_6KeX4mKQX5lPyOuGirjCzwNAQS9Z_8&e=.

Thanks much,

Rebecca

Rebecca Y. Martin
Collections Strategist and Scholarly Communications Librarian Gutman Library Harvard Graduate School of Education
6 Appian Way, Cambridge, MA 02138
(617) 496-3108
rebecca_martin_at_gse.harvard.edu
Pronouns: she, her, hers

-----Original Message-----
From: colldv-request_at_lists.ala.org <colldv-request_at_lists.ala.org> On Behalf Of stephanie.walker_at_utoronto.ca
Sent: Monday, January 28, 2019 5:05 PM
To: colldv_at_lists.ala.org
Subject: RE: [ALCTS-colldv] 30 year predictions for general collection

Despite my email address (which is my alumni address), I'm at a US research university, and was previously at a primarily undergrad with some grad programs college.  At both institutions, our stacks and print resources were reduced substantially.

We just finished our first ever weed (at an institution that's been  
around almost 150 years - don't ask), and cut holdings by about 10%.   
Largely the reductions are replacement of print bound periodicals with purchased digital copies (ones that are purchased, we-own-it digital backfiles, not just subscriptions that could be lost if we have a budget cut, or if the content of bundles changes), transfer of microfilms of some things to our state library, and weeding that got rid of excessive duplicates (i.e. 9 copies of what was a hot title in
1974 and hasn't circulated since, which we generally cut down to 1), resources that supported programs we no longer offer, and badly outdated material (example - a directory of all the public libraries in a nearby state, current as of 1972, and in spiral-bound mimeographed format).  Our print reference holdings have been halved and will likely be halved again due to lack of use and replacement with digital versions.

In 30 years - heck, in 5 years - I expect we will have cut our print holdings again, substantially - my guess is in 5 years, by another 10%.  We are technically a liberal arts university, but in reality, the vast bulk of our offerings are STEM subjects - we lost 1/2 our English faculty in the last 5 years, 2/3 of our Anthropology faculty, several folks in History and Philosophy, etc.  So I anticipate further reductions in print collections.  At our Law and Medical libraries, there are now less than 1/3 of the holdings they used to have in print
- the vast bulk of materials are digital.  I think it'd be different if we were a school that specialized in disciplines like History, English, Classics, Philosophy, Religion, etc. - in those areas, we weeded very few titles, mostly just duplicates or things that were physically falling apart or so damaged they were unreadable.

I also expect e-book technology to improve - it has since it began, and should go further.

Stephanie Walker


> From: colldv-request_at_lists.ala.org <colldv-request_at_lists.ala.org> On 
> Behalf Of Michael Hohner
> Sent: Friday, January 25, 2019 9:03 AM
> To: colldv_at_lists.ala.org
> Subject: [ALCTS-colldv] 30 year predictions for general collection
>
>
> Greetings Colleagues,
>
> As part of a library redesign project, I've been asked to check my   
> assumptions about what our Main stacks collection would look like in
>  30 years.
>
> What do others, especially at a primarily undergraduate with some   
> Masters level degree programs, think their Main stacks/General   
> collection will look like in a 30 year time horizon?
>
> Will it stay the same or increase or decrease, and by how much?
>
> What does 30 years look like for academic book stacks when it you   
> look at current purchasing trends, donations, but also consider   
> weeding, and other factors like ebook availability, digitization   
> projects, and content available open access or falling into the   
> public domain?
>
> I don't want to anchor people by providing by figure off the hop, so 
> will provide my thoughts later.
>
> Thanks in advance for your thoughts.
>
> Also, let me know if you have any good articles to share that would   
> be relevant to this.
>
> Best,
>
> Michael
>
> ---
> Michael Hohner, MLIS
> Head of Collections
> Library
>
> P 204.786.9812
>
> 515 Portage Avenue
> Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada
> R3B 2E9
>
> uwinnipeg.ca<https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=http-3A__uwinn
> ipeg.ca_&d=DwIFAg&c=imBPVzF25OnBgGmVOlcsiEgHoG1i6YHLR0Sj_gZ4adc&r=NjAZ
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>
>
Received on Wed Jan 30 2019 - 09:21:54 EST